Forecast For Abersoch : Thursday 25th April, 2024 - Issued at 8.00am by Chas

Headline Summary: Bright Start - Shower Risk Rising.

Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... time is short this morning - so a brief intro ... it did brighten up on Wednesday, with some lovely afternoon sunshine, though the northerly breeze still had a chilly feel. This morning has dawned quite lovely, with some sunshine and a light breeze and we should see some pleasant conditions continuing for a time, before we see more in the way of cloud and the increasing risk of a shower during the day.

Thereafter, the charts have backed away from some of the wetter scenarios for the weekend, so although the risk of showers may increase at times over the next few days, there should be plenty of dry weather in the mix, with some sunny intervals too...

Today: Thursday: A decent start to the day with sunny intervals and variable amounts of cloud. Generally more in the way of cloud this afternoon and there is just the chance of a shower or two - but it will be a lottery scenario. Winds from the north-northwest and up to about moderate, bringing a chilly feel again. Temperatures up to between 10c and 11c. Cold overnight and temperatures could get close to frost levels in favoured, sheltered spots.

Friday: Variable amounts of cloud on Friday with sunny intervals and a shower lottery scenario, so probably dry for most of the time, with the chance of one or two showers cropping up. The breeze may have more of an easterly element at times, but wind strengths are rather uncertain. Fairly chilly, but brighter peiods should feel pleasant in sheltered spots.

Saturday: Winds from the east or northeast, feeding in variable amounts of cloud, but it looks as though we will be to the northwest of the worst of the weather, with a chance we could get a way with a dry day. Still some uncertainty, so more on this tomorrow.

Sunday: Potentially OK - details to be confirmed but a dry and bright day is possible. Wind directions and strengths very uncertain.

Monday: Perhaps turning unsettled and windier with winds from a southerly quarter.

Outlook: Low pressure may be to the south of the UK, but we could see some decent weather at times, with warmer temperatures. Note that the situation is finely poised and the low could be close enough to bring a wetter spell at some point.

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Friday 3rd May to Tuesday 7th May ... is for the chance of some decent weather at times - though uncertainty levels are very high - but there are some positive signs this morning.

Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...

GFS at 144hrs copyright Meteociel.fr		UKMO at 144hrs copyright Meteociel.fr		ECMWF at 144hrs copyright Meteociel.fr

GFS at 192hrs copyright Meteociel.fr				ECMWF at 192hrs copyright Meteociel.fr

GFS at 10 days copyright Meteociel.fr				ECMWF at 10 days copyright Meteociel.fr

For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

Tweets by abersochdotco  

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk