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Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Friday 24th January , 2025 - Issued at 7.15am by Chas

   

 

 

Headline Summary: Storm Éowyn. Quieter Tonight.


Bore da - Good morning from Abersoch... winds have been howling over recent hours and Aberdaron recorded a gust of 93mph, so Storm Éowyn is packing quite a punch (hence the Met Office Amber weather warning for today). We should see winds slowly come down during the day, with quieter weather tonight. The storm also brought some very mild temperatures overnight, with a max of between 10c and 11c recorded for a time, but these are now starting to lower. One plus side of today is that it should be sunny!

 

Remember to check out the Abersoch Hydro webcam on the main beach, providing you with 8 different views where you can see for yourself the sea and weather conditions on the main beach... click here..

 

 

Today: Friday: Gales or severe gales this morning with southwesterly winds gusting 70mph to 80mph early in the morning and perhaps a bit higher for a time - though hopefully we will soon have just about seen the peak of the wind strengths. We should see spells of sunshine coming and going today with the shower risk subdued until this evening when some showers are possible. Temperatures mild to start the day - but becoming chillier during the rest of the day and settling around 7c in the afternoon. Winds easing noticeably by evening with moderate-ish westerlies overnight, perhaps fresh at times. Clear periods overnight and a touch of frost is possible in sheltered spots as the wind eases.

 

Saturday: Potentially OK for Saturday daytime with a southwesterly wind - but there are some mixed messages regarding wind strengths for this day with a moderate-ish westerly during the daytime period. Some sunny spells are likely, but temperatures may again be subdued and may not reach 8c. A spell of heavy showers may move through the area during the evening and this rain may also be accompanied by some strong southwesterly winds. Clear spells after the rain so there is a chance of a touch of frost overnight.

 

Sunday: Perhaps OK early Sunday morning with some quiet weather followed by a much windier afternoon, with rain arriving at some stage - timing uncertain. Gales are possible during the afternoon, evening overnight periods, from the southeast then south. Temperatures remaining chilly.

 

Monday: Gales from the south-southwest on Monday with some cloud and rain too and it will contiue to feel fairly cold.

 

Outlook: Details uncertain for Tuesday and Wednesday but a shower lottery is possible with winds veering to the northwest for a time and it will remain fairly chilly. Perhaps fine on Thursday but cold.

 

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Friday 31st January to Tuesday 4th February ...is interesting this morning as we now have a chance that high pressure over Europe may become influential - perhaps keeping the Atlantic weather at bay. However, the milder, Atlantic southwesterlies may never be too far away and could encroach at times.

 

Charts below are a snapshot from the major models. Note that anything beyond about 5 days is pretty speculative - so treat all extended charts with caution...


   

GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

ECMWF at 192hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

     

GFS at 240hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

ECMWF at 240hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

 

 

 


For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

      
     

 

     

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk

 


 

 


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