Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Saturday 28th May, 2016 at 5.25am By Chas


Headline Summary
Some Sunshine With A Background Risk Of Showers.

General Situation: There should be some decent and fairly warm weather at times in the Abersoch area over the bank holiday with perhaps today seeing the highest risk of showers and the latest radar image shows some of those knocking about the area at 5.15am. Looking further ahead and although some charts have yet to be updated this morning, as this is an earlier than usual forecast, it looks like the pattern of high pressure to the north of Britain, with low pressure affecting southern areas wil continue, meaning the shower risk may increase again at times during Tuesday and Wednesday, though there remains plenty of uncertainty regarding any detail and the peninsula may do better than some other parts of Wales...

Today: Cloudy and quiet start to the day in Abersoch with not much in the way of breeze and there is a chance that the area could catch a shower. Thereafter, there should be some spells of sunshine during the day, with cloud coming and going and there is a chance that one or two showers could affect the area, however, these will be hit and miss affairs so it will be a lottery as to whether the area catches one or two or not. Breezes generally light today, drifting in from an easterly quarter, so it should feel rather warm in those brighter or sunnier periods. More of the same this evening with still the chance of a shower.

Tonight: Mostly fine overnight.

Sunday: A fine day is expected on Sunday with plenty of sunshine and a light to moderate northerly wind. The wind may have a cool feel, but the sunshine should feel pleasant enough and sheltered spots will probably feel rather warm. A dry day is likely, with the shower risk subdued for the immediate area. Fine on Sunday evening and night. The sunshine is expected to be strong at times during the day, with high UV levels, so with a cool northerly breeze, you may not feel your skin burning so it could be a day for plenty of sun screen.

Monday: Fine weather with plenty of strong sunshine again with perhaps more in the way of a northerly wind, which could be fresh at times, so making things feel a touch cooler. Perhaps more in the way of cloud later, however, there is plenty of uncertainty regarding this and the fine weather may persist all day. Perhaps some showers arriving on Monday night.

Outlook: Tuesday may see strong winds from a northerly quarter at times with plenty of cloud and the potential for a period of rain. The timing of the rain is very uncertain with one possibility being that the morning will be wet, with a much brighter afternoon. On Wednesday, low pressure may still be affecting southern area of Britain, however, this part of Wales may do OK compared to some other areas, though there could be an increased risk of one or two showers at some stage of the day, however, some warm and sunny weather is possible at some stage. Thursday looks potentially settled with some sunshine and fairly warm temperatures.

Extended Outlook: The trend for the period from Friday 3rd June 2016 to Monday 6th June 2016 is for generally quite warm temperatures with the chance of plenty of dry and fine weather, though there could be an increased risk of showers at times.

For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily between 11.30 am and 1.30pm. They can can be found on this link here.


For the latest live conditions - check the Abersoch automated weather station in the village (sheltered location).












Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk