Abersoch
Abersoch


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Abersoch

 
 
 

 



 

     


 

 

Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Tuesday 28th June, 2022 at 6.55am By Chas

   

 

Headline Summary: An Unsettled June Day. Note no update on Wedeneday 29th June - next update will be Thursday 30th... below is Tuesday morning's update.

 

General Situation: Good morning - bore da... an area of low pressure will be feeding in some bad weather into the Abersoch area today, with rain and gale force southerly winds, which could exceed 50mph at times - so it is not a very good day for the latter part of June. After today's rain, there will be a shower lottery scenario in place for the rest of the week, however, there should be increasing amounts of sunshine too, so there should be some decent spells at times. There are some hints that high pressure may become more influential next week, which is far from certain, but would be very welcome if that scenario develops as we head into July...

 

Today (Tuesday): Outbreaks of rain arriving and lasting on and off into the first half of the afternoon. At the moment, it looks as though the drier weather will arrive around 4pm, but this could easily be out by a couple of hours either way. Chance of some brighter spells this evning, though one or two showers could blow through. Winds will be southerly and gale force today and gusts could exceed 50mph. Temperatures fairly irrelevant today.

 

Tonight: Winds gradually easing down, variable amounts of cloud and the chance of showers.


Wednesday: A shower lottery scenario, with plenty of cloud at times, but there should be some sunny intervals. The risk of showers looks quite high, so a completely dry day is potentially unlikely, but as it will be a lottery scenario, it is difficult to pin point how dry or wet it will be. Moderate winds from the south-southwest.

 

Thursday: Another shower lottery scenario, with sunny intervals, variable amounts of cloud and a moderate-ish westerly breeze. Chance of some decent spells of sunshine, with sheltered spots doing OK for warmth.


Outlook: The shower lotterly scenario continues on Friday and Saturday, but there should be plenty of dry and bright weather too, with some decent spells of sunshine possible, though it may be rather breezy from the southwest on these days. High level of uncertainty by Sunday - but potentially looking dry and mostly fine at this stage.

 

Extended Outlook: The outlook for the period from Monday 4th July to Friday 8th July ... is for high pressure to perhaps becme more influential, so there is a reasonable chance of a mostly settled spell of weather... details to be confirmed.


   

GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

       
     

 

     

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk