Forecast Issued: Saturday 4th February 2012: 8.35am By Chas

Headline Summary: Cold & Wet Today.

General Situation: Less cold air is moving into the UK from the Atlantic, bringing a spell of snow for a time to parts of Wales and plenty of snow in central and eastern areas of England. Here in NW Wales, it looks like a less cold spell has begun, though the outlook next week is still very uncertain and we may see a return of the cold by next weekend.

Today: It is cold and wet in Abersoch this morning with a moderate S to SSE wind, making it feel very cold. Temperatures are still low enough for perhaps a bit of sleet or wet snow on higher ground at the far eastern end of the peninsula, but mostly rain is more likely. We will probably see rain in Abersoch on and off all day, before it clears away this evening. Temperatures will slowly rise during the day, but it will still feel cold in moderate or fresh S or SSE wind. Clearer weather this evening, but probably too much wind and cloud for frost.

Any updates to todays forecast will be posted on our twitter page.

Tonight: Clear spells, breezy and chilly. Maybe a touch of frost in the most sheltered spots.

Sunday: Dry on Sunday morning with some bright or sunny spells and cloudier ones too. Temperatures less cold than recently and with generally lighter winds, it wont feel too bad at all. More in the way of cloud arriving in the afternoon with some rain possible from about mid-afternooon onwards. A wet end to the day is likely. Temperatures holding up well on Sunday night.

Monday: Further rain or showers are possible on Monday, though the detail is rather uncertain, as fronts will be creeping in from the west and being halted somewhere over the UK by the cold block to our east. At the moment, it looks like we will stay in the less cold / milder air. Snow is possible on hills to the east of us eg the road between Traws and Bala.

Outlook: For Tuesday, the same situation as Monday is expected with perhaps some more rain. Again, less cold or mild temperatures are expected, but there is still plenty of uncertainty in the situation.

Extended Outlook: This morning's extended charts are all over the place for the mid to late week period, so detail is very difficult to ascertain. Maybe becoming colder and more settled? Keep an eye on what the professionals think about the outlook on the Met Office website and particularly their 6 - 15 day and 16 to 30 day outlooks (updated daily between 11.30 am and 1.30pm), which have been talking recently about a month of cold. These can can be found on this link here. They have been quite reliable this winter (so far!).

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View "Live" Data From Abersoch Weather Station - click here
Please note that the automatic rain gauge on the station is currently generally underestimating some rainfalls.

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

The Weather Outlook: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.theweatheroutlook.com

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk