Abersoch
Abersoch


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Abersoch

 
 
 

 



 

   


Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Sunday 19th August, 2018 at 9.20am By Chas

   

 

Headline Summary: Less Windy But Changeable Weather Continuing...

General Situation: Good morning - bore da from Abersoch... first thing to note is that there will not be an update on Monday morning - should be back on Tuesday... updates over the last few weeks have generally been between 9 and 10 am and these should return closer to 8am from the middle of next week... yesterday's weather was another uninspiring one in comparison to the first half of this summer, with cloud and wind dominating once again. Winds reached 50mph in the early hours of this morning as fronts crossed the area associated with an area of low pressure that was centred over Scotland at 6am today. Fronts are still trailing out into the Atlantic and may remain fairly close by today resulting in a legacy of cloud, which will hopefully break up at times, however, we are in a quite warm and humid airmass at the moment and for the next couple of days, so any brighter spells should make it really warm... if we get them! Monday and Tuesday afternoon may see the best chance of sunshine. A cold front is expected to introduce fresher air after midweek, with an area of low pressure potentially moving from Iceland towards Scandinavia later in the week, potentially resulting in bringing a coolish northwesterly wind for Friday and Saturday, along with the chance of some sunny spells...

... remember, we often have updates on most days over on the report page...


Today (Sunday): Plenty of cloud this morning, however the southwesterly wind is generally dropping so it is not feeling too bad and although the cloud is expected to dominate today, there is the chance of some brighter interludes this afternoon, which would feel really warm if we get them, with the breeze easing to light by evening.

Tonight: Plenty of cloud with light winds and relatively warm.

Monday: Plenty of cloud again in general as fronts may be close by, however, it is still difficult to know whether the front will bring any rain or showers. Chance of a brighter afternoon with some sunshine - but this is far from certain. If the sun does arrive, there is the chance that when combined with very little breeze, temperatures could soar.

Tuesday: Variable amounts of cloud again on Tuesday, perhaps breaking to allow some warm sunshine. Not much breeze in the morning but a noticeable southwesterly picking up during the afternoon and evening.

Outlook: A spell of rain or showers on Wednesday, followed by fresher weather with winds veering to the west or northwest for Thursday and Friday, introducing cooler weather, however, both these days may see some sunny spells coming and going. Shower risk uncertain at this stage for Thursday and Friday, but either day may see the shower risk rise, as fronts cross the area.

Extended Outlook: The outlook this morning for the period from 25th August 2018 to 29th August 2018 - is for a changeable west or northwesterly start to the period bringing in some sunshine, variable amounts of cloud and perhaps the chance of a shower, with perhaps at least one of the days of the holiday weekend remaining fine. The Met Office charts for the weekend do show some relatively chilly temperatures for the start of the weekend. Thereafter, various scenarios emerge from this morning's charts, with a general westerly / southwesterly , changeable spell perhaps looking the most likely.


   

GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

   
   

 

   

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk