Abersoch
Abersoch


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Abersoch

 
 
 

 



 

   


Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Wednesday 22nd November, 2017 at 8.00am By Chas
   

 

Headline Summary: Severe Gales & Rain At Times.

General Situation: The latest Met Office chart for 6am this morning is showing that the UK is surrounded by low pressure with fronts affecting western and northwestern parts, with copious amounts of rainfall expected and a severe gale thrown intto the mix too and winds have already been gusting in excess of 50mph on Pen Llyn this morning. Once the fronts have cleared through overnight tonight, a cooler and brighter westerly flow of wind is expected during Thursday, with winds veering to a chillier northwesterly as we head into Friday and Saturday / Sunday, with plenty of dy and bright weather on Friday, along with the chance of showers coming and going over the weekend in that chilly wind and some of these showers are expected to become wintry on the hills of NW Wales...

Today (Wednesday): The latest rain radar shows the Abersoch area in a relatively dry slot, in between areas of heavy and persistent rain, however, the drier period is not expected to last too long this morning, with rain soon arriving, some of which is expected to be heavy and persistent. Thereafter, it is a case of outbreaks of rain, heavy at times, through the rest of the day and evening. There is again the chance of drier interludes, however, plenty of rain is expected and the rain may intensifyat times, especially later in the day or during the early evening. As well as the rain today, that south-southwesterly wind is likely to continue to gust to high strengths, often above 50mph and gusts towards 70mph cannot be ruled out, so combined with the wetter spells, it is not the best day of the autumnand hardly surprising that a Met Office yellow weather warning has been issued for the strong winds and amounts of rainfall in the NW of Wales region! Generally rather mild.

Tonight: Rain easing to showers and drier periods , with the wind easing for a time and veering westerly.

Thursday: Generally brighter on Thursday with some sunny intervals and cloud coming and going, however, a showery period is possible during the second half of the morning, when winds from a westerly quarter may gust to severe gale again, followed by drier and brighter and a touch less windy weather for the afternoon, with winds dropping further by evening. Perhaps a shower during the evening and night, but clearer spells too and chillier temperatures.

Friday: A drier and quieter day with light to moderate notrthwesterly winds and some sunny intervals and variable amounts of cloud.


Outlook: Brisk winds from the northwest for Saturday and Sunday will feel cold and bring a mixture of sunshine and showers. The showers could be wintry on the hills and mountains of Snowdonia. Unsettled on Monday with some rain at some stage.

Extended Outlook: The outlook this morning for the period from 28th November to December 2nd is for a generally mostly quite cold and changeable period, with a mixed bag of conditons. Wintry showers or snow is possible at times on the higher ground of North Wales, with winds from a northerly quarter at times.


   

GFS 00Z at 120hrs
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UKMO 00Z at 120hrs
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ECMWF 00Z at 120hrs
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GFS at 144hrs
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UKMO at 144hrs
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ECMWF at 144hrs
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GFS at 192hrs
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ECMWF at 192hrs
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For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

   
   

 

   

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk