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Forecast For Abersoch Issued:
Saturday 10th December, 2016 at 7.35am By Chas

   


Headline Summary
:
Mostly OK Today.


General Situation: The weather is in a generally low pressure dominated, mild and changeable mode, however, it looks as though that rain we mentioned on yesterday morning's update will stay mostly to the southeast of the area today and the mostly dry theme looks set to continue tomorrow, all be it with temperatures coming down a touch. The first half of next week looks unsettled and windy at times, with temperatures remaining reasonably mild. The extended outlook does offer some optimism for settled conditions returning for the run up to Christmas...


Today: Plenty of cloud with some brighter periods and although it does now look as though Abersoch will stay to the northwest of an area of rain, a shower cannot be completely ruled out, but there is a good chance of it staying dry. Winds light to moderate and the west or southwest and still reasonably mild. Clearer periods developing this evening.


Tonight: Clear spells, variable amounts of cloud and dry.


Sunday: A generally bright day with variable amounts of cloud and some sunshine at times with light to moderate west-southwesterly winds, backing southerly on Sunday night and increasing. Perhaps some decent spells of sunshine developing and still fairly mild, though temperatures will probably have eased down a touch by then.


Monday: Strong southerly winds, perhaps touching gale force with plenty of low cloud, with outbreaks of rain and drizzle. Chance of a drier and brighter spell at some stage, though the timing of this is uncertain.


Outlook: Unsettled and windy or very windy for Tuesday and Wednesday with plenty of cloud, mild temperatures and the chance of showers or rain on both days. The very windy and potentially unsettled theme might continue on Thursday.

 

Abersoch Weather   Abersoch Weather   Abersoch Weather

GFS at 120hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

UKMO at 120hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr

ECMWF at 120hrs
copyright Meteociel.fr


Extended Outlook: The trend on the extended outlook charts from Friday 16th December to Tuesday 20th December is for a changeable start to the period, thereafter things remain less certain and although the changeable weather may continue, there is a perhaps an increasing chance of high pressure becoming more dominant again, with a drop in temperatures from a continental air flow.


Abersoch Weather   Abersoch Weather   Abersoch Weather

GFS at 144hrs

UKMO at 144hrs

ECMWF at 144hrs

 

Abersoch Weather       Abersoch Weather

GFS at 192hrs

 

ECMWF at 192hrs

Charts used by kind permission of MeteoCiel.fr (all charts (copyright Meteociel.fr).

 



For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily. They can can be found on this link here.

 

For the latest live conditions - check the Abersoch automated weather station in the village (sheltered location).

     
   

 

   

 

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disclaimer

 

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Useful Weather Forecasting Links:

 

Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com

 

BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/

 

Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846

 

UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk

 

Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com

 

Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com

 

Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv

 

Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk