Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Monday 6th July, 2015 at 9.55am By Chas

Headline Summary: Wet Monday.

General Situation: Low pressure is now firmly in charge of the weather with wet weather today, followed by changeable conditions over the next couple of days, meaning a mix of sunshine and showers. Beyond that, Thursday and possibly Friday look like seeing mostly fine conditions with warmer temperatures...

Today: Rain this morning in Abersoch, heavy and persistent at times, becoming more intermittent during the afternoon and evening. Winds are currently about moderate and from the southeast however these are expected to strengthen during the day, especially as they veer towards the south and increase to strong or possibly gale force at times. Not the best start to the week!

Tonight: Drier conditions overnight with fresh to strong south-southwesterly winds.

Tuesday: A mixed bag of weather for Tuesday with brisk southwesterly winds bringing a mixture of cloudy and brighter periods, with some spells of sunshine, but also the chance of showers. The risk of showers, which could be heavy, looks like being the greatest during the afternoon and evening periods.

Wednesday: Rather cool and brisk northwesterly winds for Wednesday with a lower risk of showers and perhaps some decent spells of sunshine developing. Due to the wind coming from a rather chilly source, sheltered spots will be required to benefit from the warmth of any sunny spells.

Outlook: A ridge of high pressure may bring some fine and warm weather for Thursday with lighter winds. There is a bit of a question mark for Friday, as it looks like being a case of whether the ridge of high pressure can cling on long enough to bring another day of fine weather. The uncertainty extends into the weekend with a NW / SE split across the UK with the best weather to the southeast and some unsettled and windy weather to the NW - so its a bit of a knife edge situation for the peninsula - however, we should have a better idea of which way the weekend is going on tomorrow's update.

Extended Outlook: The trend for the period from Monday 13th July June to Thursday 16th July is very uncertain again this morning with the ECMWF charts suggesting a very changeable period with low pressure dominating and the GFS charts offering a glimmer of hope for a time early next week, before low pressure moves in by midweek. So, there is the chance of a fine couple of days to start the week, if the GFS is to be believed, however there is no sustatined fine spell of weather on offer from the charts this morning.

For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily between 11.30 am and 1.30pm. They can can be found on this link here.


For the latest live conditions - check the Abersoch automated weather station in the village (sheltered location).











Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk