Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Sunday 20th April, 2014 at 8.10am By Chas

Headline Summary: OK But More Cloud & Wind. Happy Easter.


General Situation: After the lovely weather of recent days, things are not looking quite as good as they have been, but there should still be some decent conditions at times during today and tomorrow.


Today: It looks like staying dry again in Abersoch today with some more pleasant sunshine, though this will be hazier than recent days as there will generally be more cloud about. There will also be a brisk and rather chilly northeasterly wind picking up which will make the bay very choppy. The wind will become strong to perhaps gale force later and through this evening. As mentioned, it should stay dry though there is the low risk of a shower during the afternoon.


Tonight: Chilly and windy with maybe some showers overnight.

Monday: It will feel a bit warmer on Monday compared to Sunday and there looks like being a mixture of cloudy and sunny spells with the risk of showers. The shower risk is still rather uncertain but it does look as though the Abersoch area may catch a showery spell at some stage, but tomorrow morning's radar info will need to be viewed for the potential timing of this. The wind will be lighter tomorrow, but may still be a noticeable easterly at times, meaning the bay is likely to be choppy.


Tuesday: Some pleaantly warm sunshine is likely on Tuesday and winds may be light or very light. At the moment the shower risk looks low for the Abersoch area, so potentially a decent day.


Outlook: A spell of rain may cross the area on Wednesday, followed by an improvement, but the timing of this is uncertain. Sunshine with the chance of April showers for Thursday and Friday and both these days could see some decent conditions at times.


Extended Outlook: This morning's GFS and ECMWF are showing different scenarios for next weekend and the start of the following week as they are showing low pressure in different locations with GFS bringing in strong winds and rain for a time and ECMWF showing a more easterly scenario. In summary, next weekend's weather is very uncertain!


For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily between 11.30 am and 1.30pm. They can can be found on this link here.





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Please note that the automatic rain gauge on the station is currently generally underestimating some rainfalls.










Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


The Weather Outlook: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.theweatheroutlook.com


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk