Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Tuesday 23rd September, 2014 at 7.05am By Chas

Headline Summary: Cloudier Today With Some Showery Rain PM.

General Situation: After some showers today, the weather for Wednesday and Thursday is looking mostly OK. There is a bit of a question mark over the weekend, but it may be mostly OK, especially on Sunday.

Today: Plenty of cloud today and after a quiet start, the wind will freshen from the southwest and be moderate in strength at times during the day. After some early brightness, the cloud will thicken at times and a few spits or spots are possible by late morning with more in the way of showery drizzle or rain this afternoon. Further showers are possible this evening.

Tonight: Showers.

Wednesday: Potentially OK with the low risk of a shower early in the day and from then onwards, mostly dry conditions and some sunny spells are expected to develop. Moderate west or west-northwesterly winds.

Thursday: Rather breezy at times from the southwest on Thursday, but there may also be some decent spells of sunshine at times.

Outlook: A weak weather front may bring plenty of cloud at times over the Friday to Saturday period, but there is some uncertainty regarding this, especially in terms of whether there may be some brighter weather arriving on Saturday. Sunday and Monday could be mostly fine.

Extended Outlook: The latest extended outlook charts from GFS are showing that after a fine start to next week, windy and changeable conditions are set to arrive by midweek. Yesterday evenings ECMWF charts show high pressure dominating for the middle of next week - so there is obviously pleny of uncertainty, but the chance of further spells of fine weather remain on some charts.

For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily between 11.30 am and 1.30pm. They can can be found on this link here.





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Please note that the automatic rain gauge on the station is currently generally underestimating some rainfalls.










Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


The Weather Outlook: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.theweatheroutlook.com


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk