Forecast For Abersoch Issued: Friday 29th July, 2016 at 10.15am By Chas


Headline Summary: Brighter Later.

General Situation: Apologies for the lack of forecast updates this week, an ongoing gastro bug is to blame! For lovers of beach weather, the weather has been disappointing so far this week, with a couple of periods of sunshine, but also plenty of cloudy weather with some damper periods too, which all adds up to not the best week of holiday weather. The latest charts continue to paint a rather changeable picture as we head into August, meaning a mixed bag of weather, with some sunnier periods too and in the short term, this weekend could see some decent weather at times...

Today: A weak occluded front is meandering through the area this morning bringing plenty of cloud and a few drizzly showers. As the front passes through to the southeast, then the trend is expected to be one of drier and generally brighter weather arriving this afternoon, with the chance of a mostly fine end to the day. Moderate northwesterly winds are expected, falling light at imes.

Tonight: Clear spells overnight with light winds. Perhaps an increase in cloud later.

Saturday: Some morning cloud and perhaps a shower followed by a mostly dry and bright day with some spells of sunshine and the best of the sunshine is expected for the afternoon / evening. Winds light to moderate and from the northwest or west. Turning chilly later on Saturday evening under clear skies.

Sunday: Potentially mostly fine with some sunshine and variable amounts of cloud, with the background risk of a shower, though perhaps staying dry. Winds variable in direction and feeling pleasant in any sunshine after a chilly start to the day.

Outlook: Some uncertainty for Monday with perhaps an increased chance of showers for a time, however any detail is impossible at this stage. Tuesday may see winds freshening from the southeast or east with fronts bringing rain after a dry start, though the timing of the arrival of the rain is highly uncertain and could be delayed until later. The changeable weather continues on Wednesday.

Extended Outlook: The trend for the period from Thursday 4th August 2016 to Sunday 7th August 2016 is for changeable conditions for the first half of the period, thereafter, changeable weather is perhaps the favourite to continue, however, there are one or two charts suggesting a fine weekend of the 6th/7th August, which we will keep a close eye on.

For more info on the outlook from the professionals, the Met Office extended 6 to 30 day outlooks are generally very useful and are updated daily between 11.30 am and 1.30pm. They can can be found on this link here.


For the latest live conditions - check the Abersoch automated weather station in the village (sheltered location).












Useful Weather Forecasting Links:


Met Office Website: www.metoffice.com


BBC Weather: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/


Wund Guru For Abersoch (Uses GFS Global): www.windguru.com/int/index.php?sc=47846


UK Wind Map / XC Weather (Uses GFS Model) : www.xcweather.co.uk


Magic Seaweed (Uses GFS Model): www.magicseaweed.com


Meteociel: Links to the Global Weather Models: www.meteociel.com


Netweather: Forecasts, links and busy online community: www.netweather.tv


Weatheronline: Useful forecasting resource: www.weatheronline.co.uk